Government Policy To Watch

Financial Policy in the news
Government policy that will impact our bottom line

1. Senate replaces Obama tax increases with millionaires’ tax

When President Barack Obama announced his jobs package in early September, he proposed paying for the measure with a series of tax increases on individuals making more than $200,000 and families making more than $250,000. Among them was a 28% cap on the tax exemption for municipal bond purchases and a hike in the tax on “carried interest” for private fund managers from the capital gains rate to the individual rate. In their version of the jobs plan, Senate Democrats replaced the Obama tax increases with a 5.6% surcharge on millionaires. The tax would apply to adjusted gross income less investment interest deduction above $1 million. Senate Democrats believe that the $1 million threshold more clearly delineates the difference between the middle class and the wealthy.

2. Obama’s jobs plan sliced, diced, stalled in Congress

In rallies around the country earlier this fall, Mr. Obama touted his jobs package and urged Congress to “pass this bill now.” By October, he was hoping that Congress would approve at least parts of it. It’s been slow going. The Senate blocked the entire $447 billion measure from getting to the floor. It was then diced up into smaller parts, and some blocked later on. The first portion of the package to get any traction was a provision to repeal a tax on government contractors that is set to go into effect in 2013. The bill’s prospects in the Senate are unclear.

3. Bills to promote crowd funding, raise SEC registration thresholds pass House Financial Services Committee

A bill that is similar to another piece of Mr. Obama’s jobs package was approved by the House Financial Services Committee on Oct. 26, would allow so-called crowd funding to finance startup companies by allowing the firms to pool small investments up to $5 million without having to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. State regulators object, arguing that the bill would foster fraud.

4. What is the Buffett Rule? Capitol Hill steps into the definition vacuum

As he ramped up his re-election effort this fall, Mr. Obama proposed a so-called Buffett Rule. Named after Warren Buffett, the idea is that middle-class taxpayers should never fork over a higher percentage of their earnings to the federal government than the wealthy. The notion is based on Mr. Buffett’s suggestion that it is wrong for him to pay taxes at a lower rate than his secretary. A new bill, imposes an additional 5% tax on income from $350,000 to $500,000, 10% on $500,000 to $1 million, 15% from $1 million to $10 million and 20% on income exceeding $10 million. Another group has put forth a far different concept – taxpayers would be allowed to donate money to the Treasury Department to help pay down the national debt.  This last ‘concept’ has always been available BUT has yet to generate any income.

5. Republicans try to set rates on capital gains and dividends at 15% permanently and remove health care tax

House and Senate Republicans are attempting to bring some certainty to tax policy through a measure that would set capital gains and dividends rate permanently at 15%. If Congress does not extend the Bush tax cuts, the capital gains rate will rise to 20% and dividends will be taxed at individual rates beginning in 2013. In addition, the GOP is trying to get rid of a 3.8% Medicare tax that will be assessed on investment income starting in 2013 to help pay for the health care reform law.  Not sure how they plan to pay for it in a balanced budget BUT it may be a way to stop Obamacare by stopping its funding.

6. Legislation could allow retirement account borrowing to pay mortgages

Retirement savings advocates are wary of a bill that would allow penalty-free withdrawals from tax-exempt pension and retirement plans in order to pay mortgages.  It already allows it in 401K plans.  I would prefer that they borrow than withdraw BUT not for mortgage payments without a financial plan that helps them get ‘real’ to their current financial situation.

7. DOL on fiduciary-duty rule

The Labor Department is making clear to the financial industry that it is not abandoning a regulation that would significantly expand the definition of “fiduciary” for investment advisers to retirement plans. The agency withdrew a proposed rule in September which would increase regulatory and liability costs, and would drive brokers out of the individual retirement account market because it would subject them to fiduciary duty for the first time. But why would we want brokers who don’t follow fiduciary duty to be in the individual retirement market?

Edi Alvarez, CFP®
BS, BEd, MS

www.aikapa.com

Taxes prior to Debt Super Committee Vote

2012-13 Tax Planning
– Prior to Debt Super Committee meeting deadline (Nov 23rd)

There are at least 60 income tax provisions scheduled to expire at the end of 2011 but even if they do the most significant income tax changes are expected in 2013.

The Bush tax cuts are set to expire and income tax rates rise in 2013. At that time, itemized deductions would once again be partially phased out, the estate tax exemption will drop precipitously and the estate tax rate will jump unless they are re-enacted.  At the same time we’ll begin the new healthcare surtax in 2013 that will result in 3.8% tax increase on
certain types of investment income and a tax of almost 1% on wages above a specified threshold.
Between now and 2013, we expect much talk about changes but the Congressional bipartisan ‘supercommittee’ is considering controversial revenue-raising measures, such as limiting itemized deductions for high income tax payers and other altered tax treatments. The vote & recommendations on November 23rd will play a large part in our confidence that our economy will begin to grow soon before the tax increases in 2013.

Our long term success still remain with business growth and ability to create and support well paying jobs.

What does this mean for investors? That we plan for what we know, not what might happen.  But we keep our eye on what changes are approved so that we can adjust and still reach your personal and professional goals.

This year and next year (are consistent with 2010) present us with tactical and strategic decisions that may require action before those rules expire.

Here are two lapsing provisions:
AMT Patch was extended from 2010 to 2011. If Congress
does not extend it, the AMT exemption for 2012 would
return to earlier, lower levels and will result in more tax owed.

The portion of the Federal Insurance Contributions Act (FICA) tax that goes to Social Security was reduced temporarily in
2011 from 6.2% to 4.2%. With no extension, the higher rate
returns in 2012.

Edi Alvarez, CFP®
BS, BEd, MS

www.aikapa.com

Greek Reaction Demonstrates Fragility of EU

European Unity and Global Markets
Reaction by Greek Prime Minister

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou seemingly took the world back to square one. Papandreou will have a referendum to approve the latest, second, bailout for his country.  The agreement signed last week and agreed to by Greece is now up for a referendum.

With that, global markets crumbled. In early trading here the S&P, DAX and FTSE are off and dropping. Bank stocks are leading the way with 10% drops not at all uncommon as the Greek vote calls into question whether or not the entire deal struck last week will need to be renegotiated. What is surprising is that the referendum does not seem to have a date.

Some believe that “The Papandreou decision is kinda smart, who is he to unilaterally commit his country to financial servitude for the next decade or so without the backing of Parliament?”  Considering that his government did the bulk of the spending it is a political calculation to refuse to now comply with the Maastricht Treaty which forced other member nations to bail Greece out, again.

The net result is an unexpected sell-off, that could last – ending a rather positive run of data regarding the U.S. economy.

It is time to buy during smaller market growth and then selling each time fear rises.  The super committee meets this month – prepare for another period of volatility.

Edi Alvarez, CFP®
BS, BEd, MS

www.aikapa.com